Example: The Myth of Five Nines... 80% of unscheduled outages are caused by people or process errors [Scott, many others] So there is only a 20% window in which to optimize component reliability In order to increase component reliability, we frequently add complexity (which is the root cause of at least 80% of unplanned outages). This effectively narrows the 20% window Bottom line: Optimization frequently increases complexity, which increases the likelihood of people and process failure